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ARBIMETRA LAB

Quantile Regression

Estimates how a chosen conditional quantile, such as the median, depends on the variables.

What it does

Estimates how a chosen conditional quantile, such as the median, depends on the variables.

Use it when effects differ across the distribution, or outliers affect OLS.

Data you need

  • Dependent variable
  • Independent variables

Supported data: Numeric. Level: Advanced.

Formula and method

min Σ ρτ(yᵢ − xᵢ′b), ρτ(u) = u(τ − 1[u<0])

The model minimises an asymmetric absolute loss that weights positive and negative residuals by τ and 1 − τ. Iteratively reweighted least squares finds the solution, and standard errors use a kernel estimate of the error density.

Assumptions

  • The conditional quantile is linear in the variables

Input checks

  • Quantile between 0.01 and 0.99
  • Perfect collinearity is rejected

How to read the result

Each coefficient is the change in that quantile for a one-unit change in the variable.

Worked example

Illustrative run on Simulated study data (teaching data). These figures are the actual output of this model on that example, and they say nothing about your own data.

  • experience: coefficient 1.4521, p = <0.0001. Pseudo R² = 0.4864.
  • The coefficient on experience is statistically significant at the 5% level.

Limitations

  • Standard errors are large-sample approximations

Numerical validation

Validated 14 of 14 automated checks passed, including numerical results, invalid input, missing values, small samples, constant variables, charts and the interpretation text.

CheckReferenceResultAbs. errorToleranceSource
Check loss against linear program (τ = 0.5)87.3269823287.326982713.9e-71e-5SciPy HiGHS linear program
Check loss against linear program (τ = 0.25)68.4376258568.437625872.6e-81e-5SciPy HiGHS linear program

Computed with python 3.13.2, numpy 2.2.5, scipy 1.14.1, pandas 2.3.3, statsmodels 0.14.4, scikit-learn 1.7.0, in your browser. A passing check confirms the listed comparison only. It does not make any result suitable for your data, and it is not a claim of equivalence with other statistical software.

Questions

How is this different from OLS?

OLS models the conditional mean. Quantile regression models a chosen point of the distribution, such as the median.

ARBIMETRA LAB is an educational and research tool. Results should be checked by the researcher and are not professional advice.