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ARBIMETRA LAB

Beta Estimation

Estimates beta against a benchmark across the sample or a rolling window.

What it does

Estimates beta against a benchmark across the sample or a rolling window.

Use it to measure sensitivity to the market.

Data you need

  • Asset returns
  • Market returns

Optional: Rolling window

Supported data: Numeric. Level: Beginner.

Formula and method

β = Cov(rᵢ, rm) / Var(rm)

The slope of excess asset returns on excess market returns gives beta, and a test compares it with one. A rolling estimate repeats Cov/Var over a moving window to show how sensitivity has changed.

Assumptions

  • A linear relationship with the benchmark

Input checks

  • Rolling window of at least 12
  • At least 12 return observations

How to read the result

A rolling beta shows whether sensitivity has changed.

Worked example

Illustrative run on Simulated weekly returns (teaching data, not market data). These figures are the actual output of this model on that example, and they say nothing about your own data.

  • Beta = 1.2984 (s.e. 0.0708).
  • The difference between beta and one is statistically significant at the 5% level.

Limitations

  • Depends on benchmark, window and frequency
  • Educational use, not investment advice

Numerical validation

Validated 16 of 16 automated checks passed, including numerical results, invalid input, missing values, small samples, constant variables, charts and the interpretation text.

CheckReferenceResultAbs. errorToleranceSource
Beta1.260930191.260930192.2e-151e-11Independent NumPy calculation
Latest rolling beta1.242866491.242866491.1e-151e-10Independent NumPy calculation

Computed with python 3.13.2, numpy 2.2.5, scipy 1.14.1, pandas 2.3.3, statsmodels 0.14.4, scikit-learn 1.7.0, in your browser. A passing check confirms the listed comparison only. It does not make any result suitable for your data, and it is not a claim of equivalence with other statistical software.

Questions

Why do beta estimates differ between websites?

They use different benchmarks, windows and return frequencies.

ARBIMETRA LAB is an educational and research tool. Results should be checked by the researcher and are not professional advice.